Predictive Segments (RFM)

RFM (Recency, Frequency, and Monetary) Model provides auto-segmentation and bucket users into categories such as Loyal, Promising, At Risk, etc. based on their behavior. These auto segments can be used in multiple different ways such as user analysis, churn analysis, and campaign effectiveness. RFM can also be used predictive segmentation, customers who are more likely to respond to promotions and also for future personalization.

RFM analysis is a widely used marketing model for behavior-based customer segmentation. This was primarily used in the retail industry and making its way to digital marketing. It groups customers based on their transaction history – how recently, how often and how much did they buy.

RFM Analysis can be used to answer questions like - 

  • Who are your loyal customers?
  • Which are the customers who are most likely to churn?
  • Which customers are purchasing the most on your platform?
  • Which are the customers who can be turned into the best customers with little effort?
  • Which customers are most likely to engage with your campaigns?

Let's deep dive and understand how it works - 

What is RFM Analysis

RFM analysis is a customer behavior segmentation method that uses customers' past interactions such as a visit to the platform or purchase of an item and based on these interactions divides customers into different RFM groups.

The factors for RFM Analysis

The primary factors are R, F, and M for this model, which are explained below- 
R is RECENCY - Time since the last visit to the app/site or time since last purchase.
F is FREQUENCY - Total number time a user has visited the app/site or total number of purchases
M is MONETARY -  Total money spent by a user or total time spent watching content

How RFM is calculated

Value for Recency, Frequency, and Monetary
Value for Recency, Frequency, and Monetary is the exact value for a specific user, for example, the recency value is 3 days ago, the frequency value is 5 times, and the purchase value is $1523.

Score for Recency, Frequency, and Monetary
MoEngage systems provide Recency, Frequency and Monetary score to each user based on the value of recency, frequency, and monetary. The values are ranked from highest to lowest and a score has been provided based on the rank. A combination of all these scores is the final RFM score for a user. 

For example, consider the table given below. For user ABC, DEF and GHI RFM is calculated. Recency value is ranked from highest to lowest and respective scores have been provided. The same procedure has been repeated with Frequency and Monetary scores. After getting R score, F score and M Score, the RFM score is calculated for a user.

User ID R Value R Score F Value F Score M Value M Score RFM Score
ABC 1 day ago 5 10 times 4 $1000 4 4.33
DEF 5 day ago 3 4 times 3 $560 2 2.66
GHI 9 day ago 1 1 time 3 $100 1 1.00


Segment Buckets for RFM Score
 

Users who are showing similar behavior on R, F, M and RFM scores are grouped into the same RFM buckets or segments. These segments are named with respect to user behavior. The list of segments and the respective description is provided below- 

  • Champions -  User visited most recently, visited most often and spend the highest
  • Loyal Customers - User visited recently, visited often and spent a great amount
  • Potential Loyalist - Recent user, spent a good amount
  • Recent Users - User visited most recently, but not often, has not spent much
  • Promising - Average recency, frequency, and monetary scores
  • Needs Attention - User has spent good amount but long ago (not visited recently)
  • About To Sleep - Below average recency, frequency, and monetary values
  • Price sensitive - User visited most recently, and also often, but has not spent much
  • Can’t Lose Them - User has spent great amount and visited often but long ago (not visited recently)
  • Hibernating - User's last visit was long back, visits are not ofter and has not spent much
  • Lost - Lowest recency, frequency, and monetary scores.

 Engagement Strategies for RFM Segments

The RFM segment so predicts user behavior and accordingly, marketers can take actions to make the best of these user segments. Here are some basic strategies to be used for different RFM Segments - 

  • Champions -  Reward these users. They promote your products, they can be early adopters for your new launches.
  • Loyal Customers - These user are responsive to your promotions, suggest them higher-value products. Also, ask them for reviews.
  • Potential Loyalist - Engage them with long term offers like loyalty programs or membership rewards. Suggest other categories of products to them.
  • Recent Users - For new users, make their onboarding experience smooth, provide assistance when needed.
  • Promising - Make them loyal by creating brand awareness and giving free trials.
  • Needs Attention - Need to bring back these customers, provide limited period offers, recommend products using purchase history.
  • About To Sleep - User will be lost if not reactivated. Recommend them popular products provide discounts for memberships.
  • Price sensitive - Users looking for the best deal, recommend them the highest rated products and send discount communications.
  • Can’t Lose Them - Listen to their feedback, suggest them newer products and make them stick to your platform.
  • Hibernating - Recommendations products for other categories and provide personalized offers.
  • Lost - Make your presence known by different campaigns. 

 

Let's see how it works on MoEngage dashboard - 

RFM Events 

By default App/Site Open is selected as Recency event, Frequency event is selected as 'Same as Recency Event'. Monetary event & Revenu Attribute is default set to the Conversion Goal Event and Revenu Attribute defined in general app settings.

Users can change these Recency, Frequency and Monetary events and apply desired filters for the selected events. This helps run RFM analysis on a specific category, specific business unit, product or service.

Accounts do have an identifier (event attribute) for different currencies. This identifier has to be used to filter the monetary events.
 Needlessly to say Recency and frequency events should also be of that specific market or category or business unit for which the monetary event is being analyzed.

RFM_Events_1.gif

 

RFM Model & Duration of Analysis

MoEngage dashboard provided RF (Recency & Frequency), RM (Recency & Monetary), and FM (Frequency & Monetary) analysis model other than the default RFM model.

Users can select a desired time duration for the RFM model analysis.

The minimum analysis period should be at least 30 days. The more the data the better. Individual users can decide the RFM model analysis duration based on their customer acquisition, activation and retention period. RFM duration should cover all of these customer lifecycle phases if possible. In the case of retail & e-commerce, 3 month time period is an industry-standard for RFM model analysis.
RFM analysis can be performed on all data that is present in MoEngage Analytics. Most of the cases the data retention is 1 year or 2 years.

Filter___Time.gif

 

MoEngage performs RFM analysis in real-time, hence users don’t have to configure and wait for the analysis. Time taken for the analysis is proportional to the time period and a number of data points scanned. For an account that has 45 million MAU, the RFM model takes just a few minutes to complete the analysis.

 

Understanding Chart & Tables

RFM Models

The chart represents the different RFM segments, their respective user count and segment size as a percentage of total users in the selected time duration. The size of the segment on the chart is proportional to the user count. Chart also displays the Recency, Frequency, and Monetary score and value range (low - high) for the respective RFM segment on hovering on the chart. 

Chart image can be downloaded in png formate for further use.

RFM_Chart.png

RFM Table

The table represents the same data shown in the chart, in tabular format. the table shows the RFM Segment Name, Recency Score, Recency Value Range, Frequency Score, Frequency Value Range, Monetary Score, Monetary Value Range, User Count, and Percentage of Users.

Table data can be downloaded in CSV format for any further use.

RFM_Table.png

RFM Transition

RFM transition represents the count of users, of RFM Segments from Period 1, move into RFM Segments of Period 2, over the Transition Duration.

Transition Duration is the time period over which users migrate from one RFM segment to another RFM segment. The time duration of origin RFM & destination RFM remains the same.

Period 2 is what users selects on the Date Range field, let's say it is x days. Hence the Period 1 will also be x days. The chronology here is - Period 1 : Transition Duration : Period 2.

trans.png

There is no specific day on which users transition from one RFM segment to another. It is completely based on the whole period of analysis and relative to other users' actions.

Hovering over a segment shows - 
a. Total number is users who got into that segment and number of moved in users as a percentage of overall user migration.
b. Total number of users moved out of that segment and number of moved out users as a percentage of overall user migration.

Segment.png

Hovering over a transition shows - 
a. Total number is users moved from a specific segment of period 1 RFM to a specific segment of period 2 RFM.
b. It also displays the number of moved out users as a percentage of overall user migration.

Chord.png 

 

RFM Transition table shows the period 1 RFM segment names, period 2 RFM segment names, 
their respective user migration count and percentage with respect to overall user migration.

trans_table.png 

Actionable Analytics on RFM

Users are able to create a custom segment or a campaign from RFM Chart or User Transition chart. Clicking on the chart area of the RFM segment or User Transition chord shows a popup, which let user create a custom segment or campaign.

AA_from_RFM.gif

AAUT.gif


Creating a campaign from the RFM page on the MoEngage dashboard, the dashboard redirects to the selected campaign page with the chosen RFM or User transition segment. Users can complete the campaign creation on that page.

AA_Campaign.gif

Actionable analytics on RFM creates a dynamic custom segment, which saves the RFM segment definition, not the exact users. Next time when a campaign with an RFM segment is sent, one time or periodically, that RFM segment gets calculated each of the sending time and newly created RFM segment will be used in the campaign.

Custom segments saved from RFM analysis can be used with other segments. Other segments can have their own definition or can be fixed/uploaded custom segments. In this way, RFM segments can be used with any other segments, which can be RFM segments uploaded by growth teams.

 

RFM Distribution

RFM Distribution charts show the distribution of users on Recency, Frequency, and Monetary parameters. Recency Distribution is a distribution of time, since the last visit to the app or time since last purchase. Frequency Distribution is a distribution of the number of times, users have visited the app or users made purchases. Monetary Distribution is a distribution of revenue generated by reach users.

Distribution_charts.gif

The primary use for these charts is to analyze where users are located in the distribution chart with respect to overall users. Using these charts marketers can also customize RFM Segments -  User these distribution values and execute them on the segmentation page will result in the desired segment based on RFM distribution.

Was this article helpful?
5 out of 5 found this helpful